An Argument against the Bloggs Test
I frequently use the Bloggs test (the term “Bloggs test” comes from Princeton Review) to analyze studies:
- Figure out what Joe Bloggs (an average reader) would conclude from the report. If the report was strongly stated, it was probably either written by an activist who was trying to get people to believe that conclusion or by someone who based it on the activists' press releases.
- Determine the strongest potential piece of evidence that would point in the same direction. If that evidence were true, the report would have mentioned it.
- In the absence of such evidence being mentioned, conclude that it doesn't exist.
I was inspired by the noted crackpot Jim Donald, who called the Bloggs test “the poster-girl principle.”
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